Vietnam’s economy continues to be strong: GDP growth is expected to be around 7%, inflation is under control, and the VND has been more stable than most regional peers. In 2019, external, rather than internal, factors are likely to have a bigger impact on Vietnam. We take a brief look at some of the key issues likely to affect Vietnam’s economy and stock market.
Vietnam’s currency has been more stable than most of its emerging market peers this year, but our Chief Economist Michael Kokalari thinks depreciation pressures will increase in 2019.
This year’s investor conference marks VinaCapital’s 15th anniversary. During that time, the company has invested more than USD4 billion in more than 100 companies and projects.
Over the past few months, the international business news media has published several articles about the “emerging market crisis” and the fear of “contagion” spreading from a handful of countries to other markets. Turkey, Argentina, Brazil and Pakistan, as well as some Southeast Asian countries, have all experienced significant economic and political challenges. As one of the larger frontier markets, Vietnam was unable to escape this broad sell-off. The fact is, however, that Vietnam is far better positioned than its frontier market peers across a range of key factors. We make the case that Vietnam’s strong macroeconomic and other factors justify our bullish outlook for the opportunities we continue to see in the market.
The new USD100 million venture holding company targets entrepreneurs with big ideas and helps them build companies that make a significant impact on the lives of people in Vietnam and beyond. Its first investments are Logivan and FastGo, two technology enabled startups providing solutions for the transportation and logistics markets in Vietnam.